Category archive: Markets

trump

Stockmarket: Trump’s Election Win Boosts Market

Donald Trump’s unexpected election to US presidency has boosted the stock market.

Following Trump’s win, economists expect an economic growth of 2.2 per cent in 2017 and 2.3 per cent in 2018, increasing from 1.5 per cent the past year.

Inflation is also predicted to rise to 2.2 per cent in 2017 and 2.4 per cent in 2018. The Federal Reserve has been struggling to increase inflation above the 2 per cent threshold since the 2008 financial crisis.

Bank of America’s stock has climbed by 17 per cent since Donald Trump won the presidential election.

These changes and estimates are underpinned by the belief that Trump’s administration will push for deregulation and provide market stimulus through infrastructure spending and cuts in tax rates.

The Bank of America has indicated that for every 100 basis points increase, the Bank will earn $5.3 billion in additional net interest income.

Alipay CBA

News: Alipay Enters Australian Market With Commonwealth Bank Partnership

Commonwealth Bank of Australia have signed an agreement with third-party payment platform Alipay to allow Chinese tourists and students to use Alipay in Australia.

The deal will also enable Australians to use Alipay for purchases over AliExpress, a platform for Chinese merchants to reach global consumers.

“We are constantly working on payment solutions that offer flexibility and choice for our customers so the prospect of bringing them closer to a globally leading mobile payments provider, and its 450 million active users, is truly exciting,” said Kelly Bayer Rosmarin, group executive of institutional banking and markets at CBA.

Alipay said the deal is targeted at the 19,000 Chinese tourists who visit Australia every week.

“Australia is a popular destination for Chinese travellers and Chinese students studying overseas,” said Douglas Feagin, senior vice-president at Ant Financial Services and head at Alipay International. “We want Alipay users to enjoy the kind of convenience they are used to at home.”

Alipay’s parent company, Ant Financial was valued at $US75 billion in September.

China is the world’s largest market for mobile payment, with a transaction volume of $US235 billion in 2015.

Market: Latest Stock Market News – US Election

It has been reported on Monday that international stock markets has risen. With the Dow Jones industrial average increased by 371.32 points, this has suggested positive news for Clinton following the FBI email investigation.

According to an article on CBC, “Investors have been anxious in recent weeks over signs that the presidential race was tightening. Stock markets hate instability, and a Clinton presidency is being interpreted as a continuation of the status quo.”

CBC also reported that “A broader market index, the S&P 500, ended Friday on its longest losing streak since 1980 — nine days in a row — on fears that Republican candidate Donald Trump may ascend to the White House.” There was confidence on Monday as the market with the S&P reaching 46.34 points, to 2,131.52

Phil Blancato, CEO of Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management has stated that “This is not a rational market. This is a reaction to less uncertainty,” “In those kinds of markets, people are jumping into stocks that they think are cheap. And what are the cheapest right now? Financials and health care.”

For Toronto’s stock market, the S&P/TSX composite index is rising by 143.20 points to just over 14,652.45.

Gold has lost $25.10 US an ounce to hit $1,279.40 US an ounce.

The December contract for light sweet crude dipped by 82 cents, closing at $44.89 US a barrel.

The Canadian dollar rose by 0.17 of a cent to finish at 74.78 cents US.

building

News: Chinese Investment in Australia’s Property Market Declines

Chinese property investment in Australia has declined by 37 per cent year-on-year, according to a report by London-based property consultancy Knight Frank.

The Changing Currents, Rising Tides report found that Chinese developers and investors spent US$1.7billion in the first half of 2016, with the volume of office and hotel transactions dropping 65 per cent and 42 per cent respectively year-on-year.

“The volume of Chinese investment in Australia is down considerably year-on-year because of a lack of mega-deals in the first half, as large deals such as the Investa portfolio dragged the 2015 number higher,” said Matt Whitby, head of research and consulting at Knight Frank.

However, Whitby said en-block commercial properties in Sydney and Melbourne remained popular to Chinese investors, who were “attracted by rental growth supported by strong tenant demand and a supply shortage.”

The report also noted that Chinese investors’ interest in foreign real estate market remained strong, “driven by Chinese economic and policy factors and are attracted by favourable local market conditions in gateway cities” in Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Dominic Ong, head of Asian markets at Knight Frank indicated that more major deals could be made in the second half of the year, as fewer transaction opportunities and a promising rental market have pulled in investors.

“Activity has picked up in the past few months,” said Ong.

“Some of the most recent transactions in Australia from Chinese buyers include 15 Help Street, Chatswood which sold for $43.8 million to One Pro Investment Group; 20 Bridge Street, Pymble which sold for $78 million to YuHu; 210 George Street, Sydney sold for $160 million to Poly Group; and 61 Lavender Street, Milsons Point sold to Aqualand for $110 million.”

 

Construction equipment sales in China have improved based on reports from Equipment hunt

Oil rig

Market: Oil Prices Fall Following Iraq’s Backtracking on OPEC Output Curb

Oil prices have fallen following Iraq’s statement that it sought to be exempt from the OPEC’s planned output cuts, as the group seeks to stabilise crude market.

Iraqi officials were reported on Sunday saying they would not reduce output, which is currently at 4.77 million barrels per day, because the country needed more fund to fight Islamic State militants.

Oil prices fluctuate around US$50 per barrel, mostly down 30 cents or 0.6%. West Texas Intermediate for December delivery dropped 33 cents to close at $US50.52 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent fell 32 cents to $US51.46 per barrel.

Iraq is the second-largest oil producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), behind Saudi Arabia.

“Iraq’s request to be exempted from a deal to cut output has further clouded the prospect of OPEC strategy to stabilise the oil market succeeding,” said Danske Bank analyst, Jens Naervig Pedersen.

“There is a risk that Iraq’s refusal could trigger a domino effect that other producers would ask to be exempt from the cuts too,”  SCI International energy analyst, Gao Jian said.

OPEC members Iran, Libya and Nigeria expected to be spared from the deal. “If they do nothing, OPEC production next year is likely to average at least 34 mbpd (million barrels a day) with a real threat of it reaching close to 35 mbpd if the chaos in Libya and Nigeria were to be resolved,” broker PVM said.

OPEC produced a record of 33.75 million barrels per day in September, with Saudi Arabia producing 10.58 million of them.

coins finance

Global Economics/News: China’s Slowdown Is Biggest Economic Threat

China’s slowdown is the biggest threat facing global economy, former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) told BBC.

Current Professor of Economics at Harvard University and former IMF economist Ken Rogoff said the economy could be “slowing down much more than the official figures show.”

“Everyone says China’s different, the state owns everything they can control it,” Rogoff said. “Only to a point. It’s definitely a worry, a hard landing in China.

“If you want to look at a part of the world that has a debt problem, look at China. They’ve seen credit fuelled growth and these things don’t go on forever.”

A Reuters poll shows that China’s economic growth next year is expected to slow down to 6.5 per cent, compared to this year’s 6.6 per cent.

The decline in global demand has resulted in the country’s exports falling 10 per cent year-on-year in September. Analysts also expect the increasing national debt levels to trigger a new financial crisis.

Furthermore, private investment has continued to drop. “The slowdown in private sector investment over the past years means that the organic growth momentum of the economy may have declined, requiring policymakers to be more vigilant in terms of keeping policies as supportive as possible,” said economists at HSBC in a statement.

The Chinese government has allocated more spending to provide fiscal stimulus, cutting lending rates six times since November 2014 and lowering banks’ cash reserve requirements to 17 per cent. However, analysts believe the government’s effort to increase liquidity in the market will not help much, as investors are more likely to save than make new investments.